US: Clear-cut Trump Victory Raises Medium-term Economic Risks Despite Reduction of Near-term Political Uncertainty

Donald Trump’s emphatic victory in the US presidential elections is a net negative for US risks over the medium run because it raises financial risk, although nearer-term implications for the economy are more mixed.

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06 Nov, 2024
/ 14:50

Dollar Poised for Biggest Gain in Eight Years After Trump Win

The prospect of a Donald Trump presidency roiled foreign-exchange markets, giving the dollar a huge boost and hammering other currencies like the euro, yen, Mexican peso and Chinese yuan. The Mexican peso sank to its weakest level against the dollar this year, before paring some losses. Trump has threatened to levy hefty tariffs on Mexico that could curb demand for its exports.

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06 Nov, 2024
/ 13:43

Europe's Trump Trade: Buy Bonds, Dump the Euro

Investors are betting a second Donald Trump presidency will widen the economic gap between the U.S. and Europe. Traders ramped up wagers Wednesday that European policy makers will cut interest rates more aggressively, given Trump's proposed tariffs could hurt Europe's already struggling economy.

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06 Nov, 2024
/ 11:27

Limited Headwinds for the Dollar After Advance GDP Misses Expectations

The preliminary figure for growth in the third quarter is 2.8%, 0.2% below the consensus.

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01 Nov, 2024
/ 10:38

Georgia: Parliamentary Elections Could Heighten Instability and Pressure Sovereign’s Ratings

Georgia’s coming elections highlight its tough balancing act between the West and Russia. Competing visions for the nation’s future, challenging geopolitics and sanctions risks threaten the sovereign’s ratings.

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22 Oct, 2024
/ 11:31

Further Losses for the Euro After the ECB Cuts Rates as Expected

Inflation below target suggests that the cycle of loosening will probably continue up to summer 2025.

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21 Oct, 2024
/ 13:00

EUR/USD: ECB Lowers Rates, Markets Bet on December Cut

EUR/USD collapsed to an 11-week low on Thursday after the European Central Bank lowered interest rates by 25-bps.

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18 Oct, 2024
/ 10:14

ECB Cuts Rates Again, Widening Gap With Fed

The European Central Bank lowered its key interest rate to 3.25%, in its second consecutive cut. The move widens the gap in benchmark borrowing costs with the Federal Reserve. Find out more in our recently ...

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17 Oct, 2024
/ 15:19

Limited Strength for the Dollar After Higher Than Expected American Inflation

Headline annual inflation reached a fresh low of more than three years but the greenback’s performance was mixed.

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11 Oct, 2024
/ 11:54

Italy: Fiscal Consolidation on Track But High Debt, Structural Weaknesses Persist

Italy aims to accelerate fiscal tightening to exit the Excessive Deficit Procedure earlier than expected, but high public debt, structural economic weaknesses and unfavourable demographics pose challenges.

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09 Oct, 2024
/ 14:30

Germany: Demographic Challenges Require Reforms Amid Political Fragmentation

Germany is facing demographic challenges with more acute structural pressures than other advanced economies. Labour-market and pension reforms are essential, but fragmented politics risk are eroding competitiveness.

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02 Oct, 2024
/ 14:40

Eurozone inflation estimate falls below ECB's 2% target in September

Despite inflation heading below the ECB's target rate of 2% in September, core inflation — which strips out more volatile measures — still came in at 2.7%.

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01 Oct, 2024
/ 10:10

Market Movers: US GDP & Core PCE Could Fuel Silver and EUR/USD Rally

The US dollar index hit 14-month lows on Wednesday near 100.20. The Fed is expected to cut 25-bps rates in November and December, so market participants may price in the impact of future cuts.

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26 Sep, 2024
/ 11:45

'Ugly.' 'Disastrous. 'Alarmingly Poor.' Here's How Markets Reacted to Weak Eurozone Data.

A soft landing for the European economy could be slipping away, increasing pressure on policymakers to step up the pace of interest-rate cuts. Business surveys out Monday indicated that activity in the eurozone's two largest economies was much weaker than expected in September. Here is how markets reacted: + **An October rate cut is now on the table.** Derivatives markets show investors see the European Central bank's key rate at 3.31% next month, meaning they are pricing in almost a full quarter-point reduction from the current rate of 3.5%.

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23 Sep, 2024
/ 12:10

Will EUR/USD Surge with the Fed’s Upcoming Decision?

Are you tracking the EURUSD pair?

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18 Sep, 2024
/ 14:12

Dollar Weakens on Talk of Bigger Fed Rate Cut

The dollar hit its weakest level in nearly nine months against the yen, amid revived speculation over a bigger U.S. interest-rate cut next week. The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday that the Federal Reserve was still considering whether to cut its benchmark rate by a standard 0.25 percentage point, or 0.5 percentage point on Wednesday. Traders sold the dollar upon learning that the option of a larger cut was still on the table, said Katsutoshi Inadome, a strategist at SuMi Trust.

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13 Sep, 2024
/ 10:26

ECB Cuts Interest Rates Again, Widening Gap With Federal Reserve

The European Central Bank lowered interest rates by a quarter point for the second time in three months, widening a policy gap with the Federal Reserve, which is expected to start cutting rates next week.

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12 Sep, 2024
/ 12:19

Will the ECB Cut or Hold? Key Insights Ahead of the 12 September Meeting

The ECB’s 12 September meeting could be a turning point as Eurozone data sends mixed signals. With rising stagflation risks and wage growth pressures, the central bank faces a complex decision: should they cut rates to support growth or maintain their focus on battling inflation? Traders should be on high

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11 Sep, 2024
/ 09:26

France: Political Uncertainty Weighs on Public Finances and Funding Conditions

Political uncertainty, a challenging fiscal outlook, and the rising divergence in funding conditions between France and other core euro area sovereign borrowers underscore the importance of political stability.

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09 Sep, 2024
/ 10:13

Morocco stocks lower at close of trade; Moroccan All Shares down 0.17%

Investing.com – Morocco stocks were lower after the close on Monday, as losses in the Forestry&Paper, Pharmaceutical Industry and Utilities sectors led shares lower.

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26 Aug, 2024
/ 16:10

European and US stocks down as Wall Street turns attention to Fed

US traders are looking to the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, as well as key inflation data later on in the week.

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10 Jun, 2024
/ 07:50

Ryanair ticket prices experience turbulence after spat with booking websites

The move by sites such as Booking.com, Kiwi and Kayak led to Ryanair slashing prices on some flights in a bid to fill seats.

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29 Jan, 2024
/ 12:22

Dollar’s Move Down Continues Ahead of Final GDP

Three likely cuts to the funds rate next year have weighed on the greenback despite mostly positive economic data.

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21 Dec, 2023
/ 08:42